Trading / Quant · 2025
Polymarket Trading Bot
A 4-subsystem BTC 5-min Up/Down trader — LLM strategy search, LightGBM on 870k windows, live CLOB recorder.
Le problème
Polymarket's BTC 5-minute Up/Down market moves too fast for manual trading, and any edge you think you have is worthless until it survives an honest backtest against real market data.
Ce que nous avons construit
A four-subsystem quant stack: an LLM-driven strategy-search lab that generates and mutates trading strategies; an ML lab training LightGBM models on 870k historical windows; a live CLOB order-book recorder capturing the market as it happens; and a replay engine that backtests strategies against over 6.3 million historical taker trades.
Le résultat
A research system where every strategy is stress-tested against recorded reality before a single dollar is risked — strategy search, machine learning and honest replay in one loop.
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